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Old 09-09-2018, 06:34 AM   #21
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I would not bet on "safe Florida". The bitch can keep going straight or turn. No one knows for sure. %miles from where I am is good hurricane hole ( six miles creek).
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Old 09-09-2018, 06:39 AM   #22
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So not looking good for eastern NC as of right now.....will fully decide tomorrow how much to fully prep my vessel.
But it seems prep needs to be done by Tues eve as Wed winds begin.

A new boat to think through on how to prep.
A new marina to think through with winds. surge, not knowing if neighbors will prep adequately.

A learning and stressful time

Good luck to all.

Tim
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Old 09-09-2018, 06:53 AM   #23
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Originally Posted by kokopelliTim View Post
So not looking good for eastern NC as of right now.....will fully decide tomorrow how much to fully prep my vessel.
But it seems prep needs to be done by Tues eve as Wed winds begin.

A new boat to think through on how to prep.
A new marina to think through with winds. surge, not knowing if neighbors will prep adequately.

A learning and stressful time

Good luck to all.

Tim
Current forecast for New Bern not good at all.

What marina are you in?

Personally I'm going to be in California and Ann's bolting to friends in Richmond. Even Raleigh is forecast for winds in the high 40's
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Old 09-09-2018, 07:01 AM   #24
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Definition of insanity:
Two or more boats in the water to deal with as a hurricane approaches.

Ted
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Old 09-09-2018, 07:03 AM   #25
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I am in Bridgton Harbor, sort of out on the Neuse River....a new experience for me. But I like the sturdy, solid docks and solid cleats. We shall see.

I have learned to prep my best, do a little more, take pics for insurance purposes, say a little prayer, walk away and come back afterwards and see what has happened. All the worry and stress does not help me or the boat.

Tomorrow I begin prepping the boat and house.

Tim
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Old 09-09-2018, 07:16 AM   #26
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I am in Bridgton Harbor, sort of out on the Neuse River....a new experience for me. But I like the sturdy, solid docks and solid cleats. We shall see.

I have learned to prep my best, do a little more, take pics for insurance purposes, say a little prayer, walk away and come back afterwards and see what has happened. All the worry and stress does not help me or the boat.

Tomorrow I begin prepping the boat and house.

Tim
Right now the winds are predicted to be from the ENE to NE, so that's a plus for Bridgeton. Still, you can't have too many lines or too much chafe protection. Try and keep the boat away from the dock as much as possible. Good luck!
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Old 09-09-2018, 07:45 AM   #27
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A month ago I sheduled my annual haulout for this coming week.

Might have hit upon shear luck for once.

I don't like the thought of being on the hard as the marina is too exposed to NE winds....but makes prep easier.
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Old 09-09-2018, 09:08 AM   #28
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Wifey B: We're going home tomorrow. About a 14-15 hour run. Our family from SC joining us. Going to just do boating in South Florida while Florence resolves but very worried about those of you on the coast in SC and NC and elsewhere along the coast.

Most recent odds based on the full ensemble of forecasts are (odds by Jeff Masters):

Landfall NC or SC 40%.
Landfall GA or Northern FL 10%
Landfall between VA and MA 20%
NE out to sea, no US landfall 30% (although could make landfall in Canada).

Good luck to all.
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Old 09-09-2018, 09:09 AM   #29
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Oh boy! I'm at ground zero.

Windy and NHC predict it hitting me direct.

Passageweather has it hitting OBX.
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Old 09-09-2018, 09:26 AM   #30
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Oh boy! I'm at ground zero.

Windy and NHC predict it hitting me direct.

Passageweather has it hitting OBX.
Wifey B: We have a friend who is a nurse in Wilmington.
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Old 09-09-2018, 12:16 PM   #31
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Everyone remember it's a boat and can be replaced. Pack out the important stuff and seek safe refuge until after the storm has passed. Please, no one put yourselves in danger. The boat and stuff can be replaced. You can't be replaced. Stay safe out there.


I'm in Spartanburg, SC so well away from the worst of it.
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Old 09-09-2018, 01:07 PM   #32
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Definition of insanity:
Two or more boats in the water to deal with as a hurricane approaches.

Ted
yes but one is a Bruno! They have been everywhere,done everything and are legends....Hard to keep a B&S down
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Old 09-09-2018, 04:08 PM   #33
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yes but one is a Bruno! They have been everywhere,done everything and are legends....Hard to keep a B&S down
I've been through 3 hurricanes with her in the water over the last 19 years. Take her to a 60' slip, tether her in the middle with plenty of slack to rise and fall with the tides, and let her do her thing.

Ted
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Old 09-09-2018, 07:53 PM   #34
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Man...sitting here on the boat reading up on Florence......THEN.....

......my crew asked about the bright lights in the parking lot.... just another owner check8ng their boat.... holy shi* ... water already surrounding the car with 2 hours left of rising tide. After 15+ pretty good noreasters here over the last 15 years, only a few have gotten this high.

Throw on shorts and wet shoes, jump down off the floating docks .....wade through thigh deep water to get to the car to move it to higher ground.

The little storm no one paid attention to......
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Old 09-09-2018, 08:10 PM   #35
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Yikes. Just checked 8.05 ft and still rising.
Sandy peaked at 8.3.
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Old 09-09-2018, 08:21 PM   #36
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Crazy tides and winds today....NE winds were (and still are) howling today.....My boat was sitting in 3 ft of water at low tide today!! Usually low tides depths are around 5 feet at a minimum. I'm almost certain all the big 40' and 50'+ sportfishers and trawlers were sitting on mud in my marina.
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Old 09-09-2018, 08:39 PM   #37
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Man...sitting here on the boat reading up on Florence......THEN.....

......my crew asked about the bright lights in the parking lot.... just another owner check8ng their boat.... holy shi* ... water already surrounding the car with 2 hours left of rising tide. After 15+ pretty good noreasters here over the last 15 years, only a few have gotten this high.

Throw on shorts and wet shoes, jump down off the floating docks .....wade through thigh deep water to get to the car to move it to higher ground.

The little storm no one paid attention to......
One of the fears is that if Florence does stall, we could be talking about another Harvey. High tides are already causing issues in some areas as there has been record rain this year.
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Old 09-09-2018, 09:11 PM   #38
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In addition to Florence there are several other potential troublemakers out there good luck to all and be careful!
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Old 09-09-2018, 09:56 PM   #39
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A year ago tomorrow, Irma made landfall here in the US. I’m still cleaning up the messes I caused with my own boat, all provoked by the panic before the predicted 12 ft. surge. Think it out, make a plan, and then be ready to drop it in a moment’s notice.
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Old 09-10-2018, 05:33 AM   #40
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Steering forces and strengthening forces are in place for Florence to be a nightmare. Water temps are unusually high and wind shear is absent. There's a high to her north to keep her going west and lows over the US to help also. If you are in her path it is time to work the low-hanging fruit.


There are three other areas of concern if you have interests along the Gulf. Take a look. Tropical Storm season really picked-up.
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