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Old 09-06-2017, 03:52 PM   #161
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Was mentioned on weather channel, Turks and Caicos is having a 20 foot storm surge.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane...ward-islands-0
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:09 PM   #162
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Just got notice from my Marina to move my boat out. That was a fun conversation. Lifts in Savannah are booked out already. I'm on face dock :/
If possible, can you take your boat up the Savannah River 60 or so miles, find a sharp bend with high banks and trees?

Thats where I would be headed.
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:11 PM   #163
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If possible, can you take your boat up the Savannah River 60 or so miles, find a sharp bend with high banks and trees?

Thats where I would be headed.
I've not navigated far up the sav river before and was told last night by a local its fairly hazardous once you get about 8 miles in (and i'm already 5 miles from coast) ... plus taking it up river would risk my persons and pets so not going to do that...
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:17 PM   #164
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Just got notice from my Marina to move my boat out. That was a fun conversation. Lifts in Savannah are booked out already. I'm on face dock :/
What will they do if you don't move it?
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:23 PM   #165
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Looks pretty easy for at least 20 miles, probably way more.

I understand about family, so your call, but if I was in Savannah, looks pretty good to me.
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:38 PM   #166
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What will they do if you don't move it?
Good question - as far as I see it, nothing except have a CYA if they need to sue my insurance company for damage caused by my boat...

I was able to just now secure a more protected temporary on-water spot at thunderbolt marina.

I'll move it over friday am (have to fly home first... am in MN) and prep it, board up my business buildings and then put the pets in the RV and head inland if necessary, assuming I can still get gas for the truck. The good news about Savannah is the local population is quite small as long as tourists have left there should be plenty of bandwidth on I-16 to get folks out.
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:55 PM   #167
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Just got notice from my Marina to move my boat out. That was a fun conversation. Lifts in Savannah are booked out already. I'm on face dock :/
Floating or fixed? How tall are the pilings? What was the reason they gave?

I know surge is a major potential issue in Savannah with over 9' surge on the models even on a CAT 2.
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Old 09-06-2017, 04:58 PM   #168
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Good question - as far as I see it, nothing except have a CYA if they need to sue my insurance company for damage caused by my boat...

I was able to just now secure a more protected temporary on-water spot at thunderbolt marina.

I'll move it over friday am (have to fly home first... am in MN) and prep it, board up my business buildings and then put the pets in the RV and head inland if necessary, assuming I can still get gas for the truck. The good news about Savannah is the local population is quite small as long as tourists have left there should be plenty of bandwidth on I-16 to get folks out.
I spent a winter in Thunderbolt back when Palmer Johnson owned it, we were tucked in ok, haven't been recent
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Old 09-06-2017, 05:06 PM   #169
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Floating or fixed? How tall are the pilings? What was the reason they gave?

I know surge is a major potential issue in Savannah with over 9' surge on the models even on a CAT 2.
reason: "Its their policy".

Savannah tides are enormous for the latitude, ~9'. marina pilings (floating dock) are ~4' higher than high tide.
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Old 09-06-2017, 05:19 PM   #170
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reason: "Its their policy".

Savannah tides are enormous for the latitude, ~9'. marina pilings (floating dock) are ~4' higher than high tide.
Honestly, I'd be concerned about 4' if they end up getting hurricane impact. I'd be more comfortable with Thunderbolt than most other Savannah marinas. We dock downtown but not during a hurricane.
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Old 09-06-2017, 05:33 PM   #171
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What I was thinking. 4' doesn't sound like much to allow for surge.
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:21 PM   #172
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What I was thinking. 4' doesn't sound like much to allow for surge.
Not in that area, I don't think it is at all.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:15 PM   #173
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I've not navigated far up the sav river before and was told last night by a local its fairly hazardous once you get about 8 miles in (and i'm already 5 miles from coast) ... plus taking it up river would risk my persons and pets so not going to do that...
Local is very wrong. I just took 20'draft up Savannah river 18 miles from Jetties. Container berths (ships ) are 20 miles up. Not sure above container docks but I bet it is a wonderful hurricane hole.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:25 PM   #174
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Local is very wrong. I just took 20'draft up Savannah river 18 miles from Jetties. Container berths (ships ) are 20 miles up. Not sure above container docks but I bet it is a wonderful hurricane hole.
Agree unless the charts are that wrong.

But with 9 foot tides, I bet getting 15 to 20 miles up would be doable without a doubt.
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Old 09-06-2017, 07:40 PM   #175
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20 miles is done every day all day by container ships and car carriers....thats where the terminals are. above downtown Savannah by several miles. ICW crosses Savannah river way below town.No tide considerations for yachts until above commercial docks.
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:44 PM   #176
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We love Savannah and love taking our RIB and exploring way up the river and all around the islands. Still, I'd personally choose Thunderbolt based on what I know. I haven't, however, carefully evaluated them for surge of this possible amount.
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:53 PM   #177
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Re: Spaghetti Models

No idea. The Answer Man for all things Weather is Richard on Dauntless. I will say that the Weather people were very accurate about Harvey.

When I heard CNN say 'the European Model' I thought they were talking about our First Lady.


In Savannah, we are freaking out. 30 years nothing serious, now two in a row. Hoping for best, preparing for worst.
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:57 PM   #178
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Hurricane hole, yikes!!

https://www.passagemaker.com/.amp/li...e/irma-tortola
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Old 09-06-2017, 09:01 PM   #179
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In Savannah, we are freaking out. 30 years nothing serious, now two in a row. Hoping for best, preparing for worst.
The accuracy of models will start to improve dramatically the next two days. 4 and 5 days out the normal miss is quite substantial. The average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are 175 and 225 miles.

Barbuda suffered huge damage although the reports of 90% rubble may be high. The photos we've seen really remind us of what we saw in Rockport. Puerto Rico with severe damage although not a direct hit.
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Old 09-06-2017, 09:06 PM   #180
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For anyone having to drive in this stuff, check the route first. The Waze app shows congestion areas but Trafficland shows cameras of various roads in the area...

Map | TrafficLand, Inc.
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