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menzies

Guru
Joined
May 11, 2014
Messages
7,233
Location
USA
Vessel Name
SONAS
Vessel Make
Grand Alaskan 53
Anyone and their boat in the path?

What's the plan?

Looks like a Cat 2 when it gets there at daylight Tuesday.

Right now looking like to the east of NO and over Lake P.
 
"east of New Orleans" -ugh, that would be Mississippi. and we get the bad east side of the storm.
 
Just got this in my FB news feed, Biloxi.
 

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Sorry, but I can't see that working out well at all if it's in the target area. Where is it? I sure hope they're all fortunate.

Looks like the coordinated work of a group of people who have been doing that for a long long time. I'd be interested to know how far inland that is, looks very protected, wind-wise at least.
 
Wind will not be their problem but rain and flooding sure may be. All depends on how things end up. There have been forecasts of up to 30" of rain.
 
Two casinos have broken loose too. There's just no excuse for that. The winds are not strong enough for it to happen. Then the barge into the Pensacola Bay Bridge. Seems like a lot of sloppiness and lack of securing barges.
 
So far she's just wind in the tops of the trees. We are about forty miles inland from Dauphin Island and eight miles from the MS line.


Earlier, while crossing the Gulf, she wasn't a very tall storm. Wind at high altitudes looked like she wasn't there at all.
 
Looks like Pensacola got the worst of it. Eye landed in Gulf Shores.

Our power is out. Maybe precautionary. Sightseers get out after sunup and get electrocuted by downed power lines. Then they want to sue.

Still mostly wind here. It's gusty and lower to the ground now. We are on the west side, got lucky.
 
Isn't Schoolhouse Branch to the east of Pensacola?
 
It appears there are more than a couple Schoolhouse Branch/ Schoolhouse Rivers in and out of Florida.


Just like looking up "Turtle Cay" or Round Island.
 
Post on FB says all boats remaining at Dauphin Island Marina have sunk. (90 wet slips there). Not confirmed.
 
I don't know the current rain amounts but when I went to bed last night, Pensacola already had 16" of rain and the storm hadn't arrived yet. 20-30" anticipated.
 
Heard downtown under 6 feet.
 
High tide in Panama City area this morning.
 

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My brother in Orange Beach suffered some superficial damage to his GB42 (including a cracked center-opening windshield) which is down in a really good hole behind his canal-front house. He has no power/internet.
 
It appears there are more than a couple Schoolhouse Branch/ Schoolhouse Rivers in and out of Florida.


Just like looking up "Turtle Cay" or Round Island.

True, but I went with the clues that he said he was "lucky on the west side," and also I was looking for land/town names not waterways.

Guess we'll find out for sure later.
 
Got a little hairy here. Water was about two bricks shy of entering the house and was also slapping the boat bottom hard. I was thinking I had misjudged this surge event because it was well past the water level at which the boat could have been backed out from under the roof. Windfinder.com showed the wind getting a direct perpendicular shot at the coast an hour or two after high tide this morning, and that is how it happened. The outflowing tide halted any further rise in the waters, and now we have to hope that the water goes low enough so that when it hits low tonight at 1941 tonight it will be low enough to hold off significant surge by the onshore wind which also begins to significantly slow at that time. Timing has and will continue to be KEY here. Fanning Bayou where we live is CHURNED UP.
 

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Got a little hairy here. Water was about two bricks shy of entering the house and was also slapping the boat bottom hard. I was thinking I had misjudged this surge event because it was well past the water level at which the boat could have been backed out from under the roof. Windfinder.com showed the wind getting a direct perpendicular shot at the coast an hour or two after high tide this morning, and that is how it happened. The outflowing tide halted any further rise in the waters, and now we have to hope that the water goes low enough so that when it hits low tonight at 1941 tonight it will be low enough to hold off significant surge by the onshore wind which also begins to significantly slow at that time. Timing has and will continue to be KEY here. Fanning Bayou where we live is CHURNED UP.

A lot of Pensacola neighborhoods covered. Some creeks have risen as much as 16-18'. One thing noticed too is that people with boat lifts were a bit too confident. Not saying they had a choice, but many boats then floated off. Glad yours did not.

About 2/3 of the residents of Escambia County are without power.
 
Having a lot larger than most lifted boats I see around here, I ended up with a problem in that the forty-foot pilings we used when we rebuilt the cover from the Hurricane Michael-destroyed 20-foot tall hooped vinyl cover meant for the trawler, which only needed 30-foot pilings, allowed us to go up only so high with the new metal covered wooden roof. To make up a bit for the lack of overall height, we designed it so the boat's hardtop lifts well up into the structure which means there is a rising water level at which it is no longer possible to get it out from under there. That point, well marked with a horizontal piece of PVC at the end of the pier, was reached before dawn today. After living here 20 years, I can pretty well figure to within about a foot where storm surges will be, but this was the first time I had to think about it with a boat in a lift under a hard roof. It was nerve wracking as the highest rise approached with a foot plus remaining before she would have floated and another foot before contact with the roof. I second guessed myself all over the place about not just moving yesterday to the open slip alongside the shed, but watching these seas wash in here tonight with the still quite strong winds over a two-mile fetch makes me glad I didn't have to put the production boat cleats an pilings of unknown quality to the test. With the seas well over the pier, there would have been no safe way to board the boat to adjust anything, and a loose or broken line to the windward pilings would have meant a boat bouncing on the shorter piles of the downwind pier. Decisions, decisions. I have another plan for the next big surging storm, which judging by what's going on in the Bay of Campeche right now will be real soon.

Apparently some of the big boats which broke free in Orange Beach pulled or broke the pilings they were moored to drifting miles before being stranded.
 
Actually 152,950 out of 153,000 customers of Escambia County lost power. Only 12,490 have been restored.

Santa Rosa county, 100% lost power but nearly 50% restored so far.
 
Not a lot of power issues in Bay County this far east. Michael knocked all our trees down in 2018; so none left to knock down power lines.
 
Not a lot of power issues in Bay County this far east. Michael knocked all our trees down in 2018; so none left to knock down power lines.

More trees down in Pensacola than I expected and it's attributed to the winds, while not as strong as other hurricanes, lasting longer.

I just was looking at the miles of lines to fuel at Bucees in Robertsdale, AL. Don't have any idea why so many on the road or so many needing gas, but they've found the one open station which is huge and still long, long waits.

Certainly, the impact is nothing like Michael. Most damage of buildings is just lower level or some siding and just trees here and there down. I saw a lot of small fixed docks, mostly still standing but very much reshaped and in trouble. However, nothing like an entire town decimated.

Main streets fairly clear of water now, although some trees. Curfew to remain due to power outages. We don't realize how much light we have around until total darkness hit but watching one television newsman he was commenting about driving into work early this morning and missing an interception then struggling to find the station as the sign was gone and all street lights out.

Now SC getting hit with flooding and tornado warnings.
 
Pensacola now 1/3 with power. Current power company estimate is 95% restoration by 11:59 PM on Tuesday night.

Santa Rosa county is already 2/3 restored but their estimate for 95% is also Tuesday at 11:59 PM.

Other areas nearly restored and any leftovers expected today.
 
Got a little hairy here. Water was about two bricks shy of entering the house and was also slapping the boat bottom hard. I was thinking I had misjudged this surge event because it was well past the water level at which the boat could have been backed out from under the roof. Windfinder.com showed the wind getting a direct perpendicular shot at the coast an hour or two after high tide this morning, and that is how it happened. The outflowing tide halted any further rise in the waters, and now we have to hope that the water goes low enough so that when it hits low tonight at 1941 tonight it will be low enough to hold off significant surge by the onshore wind which also begins to significantly slow at that time. Timing has and will continue to be KEY here. Fanning Bayou where we live is CHURNED UP.


Wow! I assume and hope you cleared it ok!!
 
For years I have passed boats stranded in lifts where power to or even the dock to the boat was destroyed....then some remained even longer because the boat was up high in the shed and couldn't be extracted easily I guess because of lift damage.

Then I have searched for several boats that floated free of lifts because they weren't high enough.

Tough call what to do.
 

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