Not sure how overpredicting wind to be higher than actual could be 'dangerous'. I could see if they predicted 5-10, and you got out to find 25+kts.
Either I'm a bad guess at wind speed, or the predicted speeds in my area are always lower than actual speeds.
We go out anyway. We go by the old adage "This is New England, if you listened to the weather you'd never go out". 20kts is not really that big of a deal around here. We don't get the swell on the east coat that I've seen off of Vancouver and Alaska, however.
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