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Old 08-22-2014, 08:18 AM   #561
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That shows how many uses olive oil has. I love it in the galley for so many things. He must have a lot on board.
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Old 08-22-2014, 08:21 AM   #562
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hmm, that brings up a question. Would olive oil work as a good lube to put hoses on. I wonder what Richard would say?
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Old 08-22-2014, 09:25 AM   #563
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Thanks guys, I finally found Peggy Hall's online name, HeadMistress.

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Did someone say HEAD?

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Old 08-22-2014, 09:41 AM   #564
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This leg has shown me weather and sea conditions take precedence over scheduling as all have pointed out. My question is, with the current conditions how long before he makes any port? It looks like maybe half way to land from here.
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Old 08-22-2014, 10:27 AM   #565
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This leg has shown me weather and sea conditions take precedence over scheduling as all have pointed out. My question is, with the current conditions how long before he makes any port? It looks like maybe half way to land from here.
Appears a bit over halfway if he goes to Portugal. Much less than halfway to Ireland.
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Old 08-22-2014, 10:32 AM   #566
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As of a few minutes ago he was starting a turn to the East. It will be interesting to see if it is part of a turn to the North.
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Old 08-22-2014, 11:20 AM   #567
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As of a few minutes ago he was starting a turn to the East. It will be interesting to see if it is part of a turn to the North.
I'm getting the feeling he's very close to Ireland not being a choice though due to his fuel situation.
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Old 08-22-2014, 11:27 AM   #568
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I think I would head to Portugal and enjoy some Mateus or Port----but then I'm a scardey-cat.
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Old 08-22-2014, 01:08 PM   #569
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I'm with you on that, Don. Based on what he told us about his fuel supply, he can't be fighting wind and waves all the way to Cork. Weather must be changing in his area right now. 24 hours.....decision time. He needs a southerly.
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Old 08-22-2014, 01:27 PM   #570
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Here's what I've been following for his weather:
Sailing Weather - Marine Weather Forecasts for Sailors and Adventurers - PassageWeather
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Old 08-22-2014, 02:10 PM   #571
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Just asking Richard how he is doing...Any thought on new destination...what time zone he is in....If he is getting ready to nap...
From Dauntless 1:43 est:

I'm up. I'm on Zulu time.
I've just turned neck (back?) to original course, 030į I still have NE winds but they've decreased

To 12-16 kts.
6-8' NE waves at short 7" pd
So I'm only turning 1200rpm, making 3 kts.
I'm waiting for the sw winds to appear do (so?) I can fly North


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Old 08-22-2014, 02:25 PM   #572
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Fuel in Gibraltar

When we visited Gibraltar in Mar '14 our guide pointed out the numerous large vessels at anchor in the bay. Said most were there for fuel because the country taxes fuel at either zero or at a much lower rate than other Med countries.
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Old 08-22-2014, 02:39 PM   #573
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Just got home, had to immediately check progress. Consider me addicted.
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Old 08-22-2014, 02:59 PM   #574
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From M/V Dauntless, 2:36pm, 8-22:

If I can stay on this course, I only have 6 days, 5 nights to dest.
But this is NOT an efficient speed for me. At best I'm doing 3nm/gal.

So winds will decide my next stop.

I'd take a video of the pitching, but it's hard to stand.

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Old 08-22-2014, 03:12 PM   #575
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An hour or so back, I sent Richard the latest info on highs and lows around him. There are two dissipating lows east and west of his position. The lows have been dissipating for some time. There is high pressure to the north of him which is goodness. He just has to get out between those two lows.

Way off to the east is a pretty big low pressure that will be heading to Ireland but at this point the forecasts show it going NNE and not hitting Ireland. Prior 96 hour forecast had the low hitting Ireland. 96 hours from now, the fore cast has a front that stretches from Jacksonville FLA to the UK that will bare watching. There are lows in the front that are going to be messy. One is a gale now. A day or so ago this front was forecast to be stretching from Jacksonville to France so it has moved counter clockwise a bit to the north. If the movement continues, the way may be clear to get to Ireland.

It sure would be nice to have a fast Dashew FPB 64...

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Old 08-22-2014, 04:03 PM   #576
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From Richard, 3:57 est, may be in response to DANNC weather info:

I hope to be just west of high with approaching low to my west.
That's what I need.
Tomorrow

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Old 08-22-2014, 08:19 PM   #577
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From Richard, 3:57 est, may be in response to DANNC weather info:

I hope to be just west of high with approaching low to my west.
That's what I need.
Tomorrow

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I sent him the latest data and my comments that I posted. I think he had already figured out what he needed to do based on earlier data and the latest data just confirmed his decision. The latest data had not changed much.

If he can get the High to his east, ie starboard, he will have the clockwise circulation. With the Low(s) to his west, ie port, he will have counter clockwise circulation and he can scoot up the middle. In theory.

The two lows east and west of him have beaten him up. In HINDSIGHT, if he could have, he should have continued N or NE. HINDSIGHT is a wonderful thing. Richard thinks his change of course was a mistake, I am not so sure given the information on hand 24-48 hours ago.

Not sure what I would have done. Earlier 48/96 hour forecasts had some worrisome weather at Ireland when he was approaching. That is still possible but the weather FORECAST is not as bad as it was 24-48 hours ago since the front goes north of it's previous forecast.

I just looked at the Met forecast and they have the front bowing out toward Richard's possible position as early as 48 hours with a Low at 997MB right of the south of Ireland in 84 hours. The Met forecast is similar to the earlier NOAA forecasts a day or two ago. Which forecast is right?

It is VERY educational that a weather guy with Richard's experience struggles to figure out the right course/decision. Humbling.

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Dan
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Old 08-22-2014, 09:02 PM   #578
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Does anyone but me think he needs to find a port to rest and recoup before crossing into the heavy traffic area ahead?
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Old 08-22-2014, 09:07 PM   #579
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Does anyone but me think he needs to find a port to rest and recoup before crossing into the heavy traffic area ahead?
After looking at an expanded scale of his last 48 hours, I would question the looped track. Anyone know the reason behind the mid course loop?
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Old 08-22-2014, 09:35 PM   #580
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Deckofficer,

See post #509 for the loop I think you are referencing.
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