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Old 08-28-2015, 02:15 PM   #21
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Some professional yacht captains like to be conservative and move inland away from the marinas near the beach well before there is a definite threat. Many readers here have been to Bahia Mar for the boat show and there is nothing to stop wind from the east.
Some of the captains have brought the boats here five miles inland on the New River.
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Old 08-28-2015, 02:19 PM   #22
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Todays 2 pm projected track.
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Old 08-28-2015, 02:55 PM   #23
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Some professional yacht captains like to be conservative and move inland away from the marinas near the beach well before there is a definite threat. Many readers here have been to Bahia Mar for the boat show and there is nothing to stop wind from the east.
Some of the captains have brought the boats here five miles inland on the New River.
Yes, we went to our office yesterday and at lunch saw a fairly steady group of boats coming by, heading deep within New River. We saw a lot of preparation in West Palm today, although not much movement.

A couple of the dry storage facilities got a few additional boats in the 40' range.
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Old 08-28-2015, 02:57 PM   #24
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Todays 2 pm projected track.
Looks about 50/50 on which coast from what I can tell.
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Old 08-28-2015, 03:15 PM   #25
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I just hope that she does not move into the Gulf. We have a cauldron of hot water there now, and she does not need to be feeding from that heat!
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Old 08-28-2015, 03:21 PM   #26
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Tropical Storm Erika and Bahamas

BandB are you planning the hurricane party or do you want me to?
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Old 08-28-2015, 03:45 PM   #27
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I just hope that she does not move into the Gulf. We have a cauldron of hot water there now, and she does not need to be feeding from that heat!
That's what I've been thinking.
I can see her heading out off FMY into the Gulf, stalling for a bit and building up a good head of steam.
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Old 08-28-2015, 04:17 PM   #28
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Passageweather shows a complete fizzle. Not sure where they get their data, but they are usually pretty good.
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Old 08-28-2015, 04:22 PM   #29
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Passageweather shows a complete fizzle. Not sure where they get their data, but they are usually pretty good.
Chris Parker mentioned that possibility or at least a TD. I hope it goes that way.
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Old 08-28-2015, 04:31 PM   #30
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BandB are you planning the hurricane party or do you want me to?
Wifey B: You can plan it...figured you'd be out in your dusky. Or water skiing.

Right now it's 89 degrees and sunny. We're just getting back from West Palm. Couldn't let a good day go to waste.
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Old 08-28-2015, 04:40 PM   #31
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As always the headlines are to get attention. Right now, Accuweather's is "Tropical Storm Erika to Lash Florida After Delivering Deadly Blow to Caribbean". Yet if you read the article it's filled with "if" and "could" and "should". I like weather.com's headline better. It's simply "TRACKING ERIKA: The Storm Could Change in the Coming Hours" Now that sums it up pretty much as I don't know.
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Old 08-28-2015, 05:27 PM   #32
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Chris Parker mentioned that possibility or at least a TD. I hope it goes that way.
It could very well fizzle out, and certainly the indicators are pointing in that direction right now. Let us most fervently hope that it does! However, the fat lady has not as yet sang, so we shall see.

Edit:

And coincidentally, my SO has just informed me that she wants to watch "The Perfect Storm" tonight. Not because she cares squat about Erika, but because she lusts after George Clooney. Go figure.
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Old 08-28-2015, 06:05 PM   #33
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Last paragraph in most recent NOAA storm discussion:
Although this would normally be an appropriate time for a tropical
storm watch for portions of southern Florida, following typical
timelines, we have elected to wait until we see what's left of
Erika after it passes Hispaniola. There is a significant chance
that no watches or warnings for Florida will be required.


Sounds good, then I remember Andrew moving across Florida into the Gulf and tearing Baton Rouge a new one in '92.
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Old 08-28-2015, 06:08 PM   #34
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Here's the 5 pm projected path and what the various models say. A TS to a TD, back to a TS and then a TD. Looks like lots of rain to me.

edit: The model run was at 5 pm but they were run at 2 pm.
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Old 08-28-2015, 06:57 PM   #35
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Wifey B: You can plan it...figured you'd be out in your dusky. Or water skiing.



Right now it's 89 degrees and sunny. We're just getting back from West Palm. Couldn't let a good day go to waste.

Rofl! Think I'll stick to dry land over the dusky! But may sit it out in the boat because of we loose power in leaving anyways. No AC doesn't work for me.
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Old 08-28-2015, 08:00 PM   #36
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New river was very busy today with large yacths going to safe harbour. Marina bay is FULL as well as all the other up river marinas. Looks like rain and squalls late Saturday thru Sunday. Will remove all canvas and tie across the canal by late Saturday. Be safe and let's look to the east.
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Old 08-28-2015, 10:53 PM   #37
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The water rose over 4' in some places due to central florida draining their water catchment basins into the Indian River. After Hurricane Charley, they lowered their standing water table and put the load on Brevard County residents. Many of them found that their docks had been built assuming that the posts would always have weight on them, and once the water rose to the dock planking, the docks started to float away. Many lost docks or had major repair as a result of the flooding. The harbor in Melbourne was under water, 4+ inches over the docks, and since fenders float, that caused even more damage to boats that rubbed against the pilings or submerged docks in the storm. Having Hurricanes Jean and Francis within a week or so also made the matters worse for all those with boats.
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Old 08-29-2015, 06:07 AM   #38
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I thought we were getting a break over here on the Gulf side of FL.., but who knows now. I've got Tide Minders on pilings that will take care of surges up to maybe 5 ft. And if it's anything beyond that, I'll throw out the anchors and stay aboard.
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Tropical Storm ERIKA
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Old 08-29-2015, 07:12 AM   #39
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So far the winds are 50MPh, a lot less than a good thunderstorm.

BIG Rain in FL? wow !!! what an unusual happening.

Its a slow news summer , so a rain shower is big news.
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Old 08-29-2015, 08:01 AM   #40
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This mornings 8 am projected path.
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