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04-12-2017, 07:07 PM
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#1
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Guru
City: Pahrump, NV
Vessel Name: Pairadice
Vessel Model: Sold Selene 47
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 1,967
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PNW Weather Window
OK TFer's
Pairadice and ASD are looking for a weather window to head north soon.
We will cross the Bar of the Columbia and head North to the San Juan De Fuca then inside to the San Juans. Pairadice has plans for the Selene Gathering at Roche Harbor, starting on April 26th and ending the 30th. And as much as we would like to attend this event, if an exceptable window is not available, we will sit tight.
"Pairadice" has a cruising speed of 7-8 knots with a max of 10 Knots.
"ASD" has a much higher cruising speed of 14-15 knots and Max at 23 Knots.
Looking at all available weather sites, we dont see any 2 day windows in the near future.
So we thought we would see if anyone else might have a suggestion for a possible window.
So put on your "Weather Guru Hats" and give us a hand.
Much appreciate your help!
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04-12-2017, 07:34 PM
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#2
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Guru
City: Port Townsend, WA
Vessel Name: Traveler
Vessel Model: Cheoy Lee 46 LRC
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 1,573
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Good luck! This doesn't help but I heard (Cliff Maas?) that the rest of April is going to see a succession of low pressure systems sweeping up and into the PNW, with settled weather/high pressure starting in May.
That's not to say you won't get lucky and find a couple days to make the run...
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04-12-2017, 07:39 PM
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#3
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Guru
City: Bellingham WA
Vessel Name: Hatt Trick
Vessel Model: 45' Hatteras Convertible
Join Date: Nov 2016
Posts: 1,971
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John, I don't envy you having to cross the Columbia River bar, and then make your way up to Juan de Fuca, probably most of the trip with a swell rolling you around on the beam. You certainly have a tougher trip north than we do out of Bellingham. Be sure to post your progress as you move up. We'll be looking for you in SE Alaska this summer.
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04-12-2017, 07:44 PM
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#4
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Guru
City: Concrete Washington State
Vessel Name: Willy
Vessel Model: Willard Nomad 30'
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 18,738
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PNW,
Don't like the weather?
Wait a a day or even an hour in the spring.
__________________
Eric
North Western Washington State USA
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04-12-2017, 07:47 PM
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#5
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Guru
City: Inside Passage Summer/Columbia River Winter
Vessel Name: Alaskan Sea-Duction
Vessel Model: 1988 M/Y Camargue YachtFisher
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 8,046
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Well I looked at every site I have and they all more or less match NOAA/NWS. West swells on the port beam all the way from the bar to the entrance of Juan De Fuca. Not fun, doable for a fast boat, but still not fun. In some cases the conditions look just OK Saturday and Sunday, then turns to crap again on Monday......
Small craft advisory thru Thursdayafternoon.
THU NIGHT SWWIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. W SWELL 7 FT AT 13 SECONDS.SHOWERS.
FRIAND FRI NIGHT SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. W SWELL 7 FT AT 10 SECONDS.
SAT WWIND 10 KT OR LESS. WIND WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. W SWELL 6 FT AT 9 SECONDS.
SATNIGHT NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 15 SECONDS.
SUN VARIABLE WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS. W SWELL 4 FT.
MON SEWIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. W SWELL 6 FT.
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04-12-2017, 09:17 PM
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#6
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Guru
City: Sea of Cortez, Mexico
Vessel Name: Irene
Vessel Model: Nordhavn 40II
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 1,234
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Good Luck. You know how to find me if you need something on the way by...
Tom - is this a one-day run for you (if you go solo) from the bar to Neah Bay, or is that pushing too hard?
Jeff
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04-12-2017, 09:55 PM
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#7
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Guru
City: Inside Passage Summer/Columbia River Winter
Vessel Name: Alaskan Sea-Duction
Vessel Model: 1988 M/Y Camargue YachtFisher
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 8,046
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For me it about 12 to 15 hours. For Crusty its at least 30 hours. I don't actually plan to leave until the 1st of May. The weather patterns are starting to change, but if you look what is out in the Pacific there is some crap coming this way. I like at least a 3 day window. Yes Jeff I know where you work!! lol
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04-12-2017, 11:04 PM
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#8
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Guru
City: Tri Cities, WA
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 4,406
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May both of you have fair winds, calm seas and blue skies in your journeys north. Please post lots of pics and commentary for those of us who sit dream and dream of following in your wake.
__________________
Mike and Tina
1981 Boston Whaler 13'
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04-12-2017, 11:08 PM
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#9
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Guru
City: LaConner
Vessel Model: 34' CHB
Join Date: Apr 2016
Posts: 1,257
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July might be nice...
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04-13-2017, 12:00 AM
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#10
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Guru
City: Pahrump, NV
Vessel Name: Pairadice
Vessel Model: Sold Selene 47
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 1,967
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Last year we crossed the Bar on April 1st. Had 2 ft swell @ 15 seconds from the south and 4 Knot winds, also from the south. Was like cruising Lake Mead on a very mild day. With the exception of crab pot dodging, couldn't get any better.
The Admiral is getting Antsy, but she is in no rush to have a long rough ride North.
I hope the weather changes soon, but looking at what is coming in the next 10 days makes me grateful that we are staying put.
Good news is Tom has a spot at his Dock for us, with or without Pairadice.
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04-13-2017, 12:25 AM
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#11
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Guru
City: Inside Passage Summer/Columbia River Winter
Vessel Name: Alaskan Sea-Duction
Vessel Model: 1988 M/Y Camargue YachtFisher
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 8,046
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Comes with power and water and a bucket to piss in...
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04-13-2017, 11:45 PM
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#12
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Guru
City: Gibsons, B.C., Canada
Vessel Name: Island Pride
Vessel Model: Palmer 32'
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 4,409
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Hope the weather co-operates.
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04-14-2017, 05:12 AM
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#13
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Dauntless Award
City: Wrangell, Alaska
Vessel Name: Dauntless
Vessel Model: Kadey Krogen 42 - 148
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 2,820
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Good luck and keep us informed.
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04-14-2017, 11:09 AM
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#14
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Guru
City: Inside Passage Summer/Columbia River Winter
Vessel Name: Alaskan Sea-Duction
Vessel Model: 1988 M/Y Camargue YachtFisher
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 8,046
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Looks like Sunday morning is when the gate opens and powering up the coast for Pairadice...ASD will be looking at the 1st of the month.
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04-14-2017, 12:00 PM
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#15
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Veteran Member
City: Poulsbo, WA
Vessel Name: Serenus
Vessel Model: Tollycraft 44
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 77
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Good luck and safe cruising for you guys. I believe we seen you folks (Pairadice) at Echo Bay last year. I came over and visited with you for awhile. We also spend the winters in Las Vegas and were going to name our boat Pair-a-Dice but instead decided to take her back to her original name by first owner. Anyway, Pairadice and ASD, travel safe and will be watching you on AIS.
__________________
Jerry & Mona Stauffer
Serenus
Liberty Bay Marina
Poulsbo, WA
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04-15-2017, 12:14 AM
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#16
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Guru
City: Pahrump, NV
Vessel Name: Pairadice
Vessel Model: Sold Selene 47
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 1,967
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Looks like we have a window.
Pairadice will depart early tomorrow morning from Portland and make our way to Astoria for the night. If all goes well, we should cross the bar and make our way North early Sunday Morning. Trip should take 24 hours along the coast from Astoria to just outside Nea Bay. From there we will decide to continue on to Port Angeles or maybe the San Juan Islands.
Once we make it into the Sound we will try and update you all, wish us luck.
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04-15-2017, 12:52 AM
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#17
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Guru
City: Inside Passage Summer/Columbia River Winter
Vessel Name: Alaskan Sea-Duction
Vessel Model: 1988 M/Y Camargue YachtFisher
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 8,046
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Did you remember to put the plug in?😆
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04-15-2017, 03:20 AM
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#18
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Guru
City: Between Oregon and Alaska
Vessel Name: Charlie Harper
Vessel Model: Wheeler Shipyard 83'
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 3,021
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I fished the PNW in most weather. The ocean changes quickly. Often after a low passes, the seas quiet down for a couple days. Sometimes even knocking down the prevailing NW swells. Be prepared to go when a nice weather window appears. Stay out of shallow water to avoid the ground swell. Depending seas and swells, Astoria to Neah Bay is about 13 to 15 hours in my current boat at 10kts.
Watch out for fishing buoys. The lines are longer than needed for the depth and excess line floats on or near the surface.
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04-15-2017, 12:57 PM
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#19
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Senior Member
City: Maple Bay BC
Vessel Name: Orca
Vessel Model: RFC Coaster 23
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 300
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Crusty Chief
Looks like we have a window.
Pairadice will depart early tomorrow morning from Portland and make our way to Astoria for the night. If all goes well, we should cross the bar and make our way North early Sunday Morning. Trip should take 24 hours along the coast from Astoria to just outside Nea Bay. From there we will decide to continue on to Port Angeles or maybe the San Juan Islands.
Once we make it into the Sound we will try and update you all, wish us luck.
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You're on your way! Safe travels.
It's simply amazing that I can lounge here in my living room and watch your progress. Did you know you are so close to ASD right now?
AIS, simply amazing technology.
Greg S
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04-15-2017, 02:23 PM
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#20
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Guru
City: Vermont
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 10,076
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Good luck with the run north. We just got underway this morning ourselves, heading up Georgia Strait from Vancouver. Conditions are excellent and the sun is shining.
__________________
MVTanglewood.com
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