Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
 
Old 10-23-2015, 10:01 AM   #1
Guru
 
City: Carefree, Arizona
Country: usa
Vessel Name: sunchaser V
Vessel Model: DeFever 48
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 6,371
Hurricane Patricia

Off the Pacific side of Mexico is a category 5 hurricane, Patricia. Yacht loss in marinas is forecast to be catastrophic with offshore vessels in extreme peril.

The weekend in key resort towns will be no fun with massive evacuations underway.
__________________
Advertisement

sunchaser is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 10:26 AM   #2
Guru
 
BandB's Avatar
 
City: Fort Lauderdale
Country: USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 13,171
200 mph sustained winds with stronger gusts. Highest the hurricane center has ever recorded. Expected to still be a CAT 5 when she hits the pacific Mexico coast around Vallarta or that general area.

A new realization has really hit us hard following it. As you cruise you meet people in various places. Each of those times humanizes the place and it will never again be a spot on a weather map. A year ago, that area of Mexico was faceless to us. Didn't mean we wouldn't have been concerned. Just means that now we think of the places we went and the people who showed us so much hospitality and made our trip so wonderful. We never really followed Pacific hurricanes closely before, but now we're quite shaken by the potential devastation that may be coming.

It's something I've long known is that we feel very different about people we can put a face to than just some faceless group of people. We've become close to the Bahamian people and still see the work of Joaquin, just thankful its mostly property and not lives. We were in SC while the floods struck and lived just across the state line in NC. Now we're very much concerned over Hurricane Patricia.

Patricia is comparable to Typhoon Haiyan which hit the Philippines in 2013 and killed 6000. Stronger than Katrina or Andrew.
__________________

BandB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 10:42 AM   #3
Senior Member
 
Greatlaker221's Avatar
 
City: Kenosha, WI
Country: USA
Vessel Name: Tortuga
Vessel Model: Hershine 37
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 113
I hope the storm dosn't jog NW and follow the three ships!

Click image for larger version

Name:	image1 (4).jpg
Views:	128
Size:	66.8 KB
ID:	45735

Click image for larger version

Name:	image1 (3).jpg
Views:	104
Size:	121.0 KB
ID:	45736
__________________
Hershine 37 refit blog:

http://savingtortuga.blogspot.com/
Greatlaker221 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 10:56 AM   #4
Guru
 
HopCar's Avatar


 
City: Miami Florida
Vessel Name: Possum
Vessel Model: Ellis 28
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 3,505
There are cruisers who will stay aboard at anchor in hope of being able to save their boat. I would be moving inland to high ground. Not only are the winds going to kill a lot of people, flash flooding will kill as well.

This is the strongest storm I ever remember.
__________________
Parks Masterson
www.hopkins-carter.com
HopCar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 11:30 AM   #5
Guru
 
hollywood8118's Avatar
 
City: Port Townsend Washington
Country: USA
Vessel Name: " OTTER "
Vessel Model: Ocean Alexander Europa 40
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 1,482
And this comes a week before hurricane season in Mexico is officially over. Looks like our family might need to change our plans to be in P.V. for spring break!. That entire end of Banderas Bay is a old swamp and the entire area is about 10' above sea level.. they are screwed for sure. All we can do is hope for the best for the locals and folks who have property there.
Luckily the majority of the cruisers heading that way are still on the North side of the border.. if this happened in two or three weeks there could be a lot of boats offshore that would get nailed.
HOLLYWOOD
hollywood8118 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 11:37 AM   #6
Guru
 
BandB's Avatar
 
City: Fort Lauderdale
Country: USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 13,171
The 1959 unnamed hurricane which hit Mexico is the only eastern Pacific hurricane to make landfall as a CAT 5. It hit near Manzanillo and killed 1800. In some cities up to 50% of the homes were destroyed.
BandB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 12:17 PM   #7
Senior Member
 
ragin cajun's Avatar
 
City: Lafayette, LA
Country: USA
Vessel Name: presently boatless
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 267
Sad part of this is the local population are very poor. Most cannot evacuate to inland areas away from the brunt of the storm. I fear many lives will be lost. Wonder if the Mexican government is trying to evacuate as many as they can.
Any one who stays on board in a small craft around this hurricane is absolutely insane. I've been caught in a building tropical storm on a boat and I'll never want to go through that again much less a hurricane. Praying for those folks down there....
ragin cajun is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 12:59 PM   #8
Moderator Emeritus
 
jwnall's Avatar
 
City: St. Marks, Florida
Country: US
Vessel Name: Morgan
Vessel Model: Gulfstar 36
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 3,621
Quote:
Originally Posted by ragin cajun View Post
Any one who stays on board in a small craft around this hurricane is absolutely insane.
Yeah, I agree. Not a thing in the world that they can do to help the boat with that monster.
__________________
John
jwnall is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 01:06 PM   #9
Guru
 
psneeld's Avatar
 
City: Avalon, NJ
Country: USA
Vessel Name: Freedom
Vessel Model: Albin 40
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 15,913
May depend on the hurricane hole...around there there is a lot of significant terrain...find the right spot and it could be done...

Me...probably not for a cat 5...would have left to the south (not positive south as I only started looking this AM) over 2 days ago.
psneeld is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 01:44 PM   #10
Guru
 
BandB's Avatar
 
City: Fort Lauderdale
Country: USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 13,171
Quote:
Originally Posted by ragin cajun View Post
Sad part of this is the local population are very poor. Most cannot evacuate to inland areas away from the brunt of the storm. I fear many lives will be lost. Wonder if the Mexican government is trying to evacuate as many as they can.
Any one who stays on board in a small craft around this hurricane is absolutely insane. I've been caught in a building tropical storm on a boat and I'll never want to go through that again much less a hurricane. Praying for those folks down there....
Information of note is that while some evacuation is underway, there really isn't a means of quickly notifying people.

Evacuations are underway in areas expected to be hit hardest by Patricia. According to Vallarta Daily, as many as 50,000 people will be moved away from the coast and into shelters in the Vallarta-Nayarit area by Friday afternoon.

Sirens have been sounded along the coastline to warn residents and tourists that they need to evacuate, according to Ian Hayden Parker, a former resident of Atlanta, Georgia, who has lived in Puerto Vallarta for the past 10 years.

"Currently, my focus for Vallarta Daily is to get the word out about this storm," he told The Weather Channel. "For many of us connected, itís hard to imagine people still would not be informed, but itís true. We live in a resort town, but outside of the tourist zone, there is still a lot of poverty and people without computers, Internet, or phones. So this is an ongoing concern."


I also read where a large resort notified all their guests and told them to meet in the lobby at 10:30 AM to be evacuated. They are to bring one small handbag and leave everything else in the bathtub of their room.

I've also read about local governments preparing and realized that they're distributing sand bags and preparing as for every storm they've previously seen, but give me the impression of not truly comprehending the potential force of Patricia.

I've seen in previous situations where the US state department has evacuated US tourists. To the surprise of some who were evacuated they were subsequently billed air fare by the State Department.
BandB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 01:55 PM   #11
Senior Member
 
ragin cajun's Avatar
 
City: Lafayette, LA
Country: USA
Vessel Name: presently boatless
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 267
Quote:
Originally Posted by BandB View Post

I've seen in previous situations where the US state department has evacuated US tourists. To the surprise of some who were evacuated they were subsequently billed air fare by the State Department.

I would GLADLY pay that airfare to get out of harms way! The last storm American tourist were stranded for many weeks in horrid conditions before they were able to be lifted out.
ragin cajun is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 02:04 PM   #12
Guru
 
BandB's Avatar
 
City: Fort Lauderdale
Country: USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 13,171
Quote:
Originally Posted by ragin cajun View Post
I would GLADLY pay that airfare to get out of harms way! The last storm American tourist were stranded for many weeks in horrid conditions before they were able to be lifted out.
I would too, but was just reading people who complained about it. In fairness too they did sign a promissory note before the plane took off and they were only billed the equivalent of a regular coach fare, only a small percentage of the cost of the plane flown in to get them.
BandB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 04:55 PM   #13
Guru
 
High Wire's Avatar
 
City: Cape May, NJ and Englewood, FL
Country: USA
Vessel Name: Irish Lady
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1,602
...200 mph sustained winds... still trying to wrap my head around that!
__________________
Archie
1984 Monk 36 Hull #46
Englewood, FL and Cape May, NJ
High Wire is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 05:11 PM   #14
Guru
 
BandB's Avatar
 
City: Fort Lauderdale
Country: USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 13,171
Now less than 60 miles from land and winds at 190 mph. They should already be feeling some advance impact with up to 100 mph winds.
BandB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 05:13 PM   #15
Guru
 
City: kemah
Country: USA
Join Date: May 2015
Posts: 997
the weather reports have the left overs of both systems funneling up the coast of texas. Ill be on the boat all weekend hoping the 12"+ of rain they are forecasting with gale force winds pass around it.
what_barnacles is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 05:25 PM   #16
Senior Member
 
Diesel Duck's Avatar
 
City: discomfort.reactants.peanuts
Country: Colombia, South America and Huatulco, Mexico
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 466
earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions

Note: Once you have this site open click on a spot on the map and it will tell you the wind velocity and its direction.

Looks like Melaque and La Manzanilla are getting the full force as Patricia comes to shore. This it NOT good! My town suffered some damage years ago when Hurricane Pauline hit but it was nothing like what's happening now with Patricia.
__________________
Diesel Duck
*For Sale or Trade this oceanfront Mexican villa (www.QuintaAlegria.com) for the right 'Trawler' - Nordhavn, Kadey Krogen, Diesel Duck or ???
Diesel Duck is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 05:36 PM   #17
Guru
 
BandB's Avatar
 
City: Fort Lauderdale
Country: USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 13,171
Quote:
Originally Posted by what_barnacles View Post
the weather reports have the left overs of both systems funneling up the coast of texas. Ill be on the boat all weekend hoping the 12"+ of rain they are forecasting with gale force winds pass around it.
Gulf moisture and Patricia moisture are hitting Texas together and all the south and eastern sections of the state have flood warnings.
BandB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 07:01 PM   #18
Veteran Member
 
City: Whittier
Country: Mexico/Alaska
Vessel Name: Libertad
Vessel Model: Offshore 54
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 84
I am in Nuevo Vallarta, just 1/4 mile from Paradise Village Marina and we have been told that the eye of Patricia has altered course and is headed inland about 35 miles south of us near Cabo Corrientes. Good news, although it is still going to be a mess here. The wind is just starting to pick up and is still going to be in the 110-140 mph range. I will give more info as this unravels.
Larmex99 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 07:16 PM   #19
Master and Commander
 
markpierce's Avatar
 
City: Vallejo CA
Country: USA
Vessel Name: Carquinez Coot
Vessel Model: 2011 Seahorse Marine Coot hull #6
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 10,265
Confirms my belief not to reside or boat in tropical waters. Best of luck!
__________________
Kar-KEEN-ez Koot
markpierce is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-23-2015, 07:19 PM   #20
Guru
 
rochepoint's Avatar
 
City: Sidney BC
Country: Canada
Vessel Name: Rochepoint
Vessel Model: 1985 Cheer Men PT38 Sedan
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,192
Does not look good, our thoughts and prayers to everyone in the area.......
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	Screen shot 2015-10-23 at 4.16.59 PM.jpg
Views:	56
Size:	103.1 KB
ID:	45748  
__________________

__________________
Cheers Mike Barge
MV Rochepoint
Sidney, British Columbia.
"Yes, I have the right anchor"
rochepoint is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off





All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:25 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 4
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.6.0
Copyright 2006 - 2012