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Old 10-06-2016, 08:29 AM   #261
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Parks are you sure Manny is the right person to open, he may blow away. LOL
Actually as of the current time of 0830 hrs there is very little wind and no rain. I don't think this will last very long but so far it's been good.
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Old 10-06-2016, 08:41 AM   #262
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Dropsonde info just in from hurricane hunter:
925mb. That's incredible.

925mb 164m (538 ft) 24.4C (75.9F) 24.0C (75F) 170 (from the S) 153 knots (176 mph)
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Old 10-06-2016, 08:42 AM   #263
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Excerpt from Nat Weather Svc Melbourn:
NWS - Melbourne: "- STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF*
AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE*
GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS*
MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS."
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Old 10-06-2016, 08:49 AM   #264
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My kid lives in Melbourne and I keep telling to bring his home up to Miami Dade County Building Codes. Homes here can withstand higher winds.
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Old 10-06-2016, 09:40 AM   #265
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Hurricane Matthew?

I have a friend who owns a neat little marina on Green Turtle Cay in the Bahamas. He is out there right now trying to "save his property". He's an older dude and I'm a little worried about him.

What would the storm surge likely be in GTC? Looks like he will be on the windy side of the storm, and I don't remember much of a wind break around the marina.
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Old 10-06-2016, 09:47 AM   #266
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Cardude. I have no personal knowledge of your friends marina but the natives have been enduring hurricanes all their live. They have the attitude that "it's just a little rain and wind, mon. No big thing".
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:00 AM   #267
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Hurricane Matthew?

True. I guess he knows what he is doing. I've never been through one and don't think I would want to be in a hurricane in the Bahamas.

And I believe I have it backwards-- he is on the right side of the storm so that's the more rainy side I think.
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:01 AM   #268
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We have friends that live in the Abacos at Treasure Cay across from the marina .
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:05 AM   #269
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GTC does not look too bad on passageweather. Eye stays to south and then to west. Wind at GTC mostly will be SE and not too bad.

You fla folks, Hang On!!!
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:08 AM   #270
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We have friends that live in the Abacos at Treasure Cay across from the marina .

Heard anything from them?

Just saw a video of Nassau and it actually didn't look too terrible-- but they were in a big strong building shielded from the wind.
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:10 AM   #271
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For what it's worth, there appear to be a few slips open at the Marina at Ortega Landings here in Jacksonville.This is where I am and is as protected as it gets for what we will be dealing with. This is on the St Johns River. Phone 904-387-5538. Ask for Bruce (Dock Master)
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:13 AM   #272
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I'm in Ft Laud now, up the New River, docked at shipyard on Marina Mile. Wednesday was pretty hectic getting secured and traffic coming in, now Thurs. morning and everything pretty quiet, just a few last minute preps. I'm facing north so it should be mostly on the nose, nothing in front of me, but there is an old 80-85' Burger rafted up off my port bow, poorly secured, my biggest worry is him breaking loose and getting blown down on me. All the big mega's have pro crews and have done a good job securing, it's the little sport, sport fish's, and absentee owner boats that are the worry, they just don't care or prep right.
I rode out Andrew on this same boat in this same marina back in 92, we clocked 122 mph then, this won't be as bad. Also rode another hurricane in this exact same slip back around 2000, maybe 2001, that was on a 132' Amels, no problems then.
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:20 AM   #273
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but there is an old 80-85' Burger rafted up off my port bow, poorly secured, my biggest worry is him breaking loose and getting blown down on me. All the big mega's have pro crews and have done a good job securing, it's the little sport, sport fish's, and absentee owner boats that are the worry, they just don't care or prep right.
Most marina contracts allow the marina to add lines and do whatever else to secure boats at the owner's cost. I'd call boats that concerned me to the attention of the marina.

With the weather channel on, it's amazing the lack of knowledge continually displayed even on a channel that should be more on knowledge and less on drama. I know there is some benefit to that in the immediacy, however. Getting people to think the worst may get them to prepare for the reality.

It's staggering to see the differences in what we're likely to see 50 miles north, even 20 miles north from wherever you're talking. Also, the differences even a half mile inland. A tremendous misunderstanding of evacuation and what areas actually are evacuation zones.

South Florida does have a hurricane warning but unless something changes this is not the area at the greatest risk. It's further north along the FL coast.
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:38 AM   #274
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Heard anything from them?

Just saw a video of Nassau and it actually didn't look too terrible-- but they were in a big strong building shielded from the wind.
Nothing yet . She went to Nassau and he stayed at TC. Her mom has one house on a small island across from GTC . They also have several canals on TC that were built for a resort area that I believe Floyd took out .Now the Moorings use the canals for hurricane holes .
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:39 AM   #275
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South Florida does have a hurricane warning but unless something changes this is not the area at the greatest risk. It's further north along the FL coast.
Fort Lauderdale maximum forecast winds 70 mph. Jupiter 110 mph. Melbourne 118 mph. So close, but so different in wind. Similar in surge as you move north.
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Old 10-06-2016, 10:39 AM   #276
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In Miami we added extra lines and took in cushions and stuff that could blow away, and added 100 gallons of water. At the house we have done nothing except take in plants on the patio. Let it blow! ��
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Old 10-06-2016, 11:13 AM   #277
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Just saw another four USCG cutters headed down the St Johns presumably to a designated hurricane hole. At my dock, water levels are at least a foot higher than normal high tide and we are nowhere near the storm yet. We just raised the boat another couple of feet on the lift. Need to get this right before the storm as I am certain we will lose power.
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Old 10-06-2016, 12:09 PM   #278
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We've done as much as we can do. I raised our container 16" on blocks. All the contents except the batteries are another 18" minimum off the floor except the marine ply and metal pieces.

The barge next to us normally needs 13" to float. Add that to the 18" of blocks and it could get quite lively with the storm surge. The yard has tried to secure a couple others so at least they don't get out into the river. Now the waiting starts.

Hobo's at the St. Johns Boat Co, JAX:

https://www.google.com/maps/place/98...!4d-81.4333202
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Old 10-06-2016, 12:23 PM   #279
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Current storm surge forecasts

Hurricane MATTHEW
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Old 10-06-2016, 12:28 PM   #280
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Now the waiting starts.
Yup. Now the waiting. Once you have done all that you can do, then you have to just hope for the best. My fingers on both hands are crossed for you, Larry.
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