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Old 09-06-2008, 11:06 AM   #1
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Hurricane Ike

Well, it keeps swinging more southerly. The spaghetti models showing it spitting out into the GOM now, then turning northerly heading for the panhandle of FL, mostly. Everybody on the gulf coast needs to be watching this one.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...809_model.html
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Old 09-08-2008, 02:47 PM   #2
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Well dammit. It looks more and more like it's coming right for Galveston Bay. As of now, half the spaghetti models show it coming right to us, the other half show S. Texas. NOAA shows it heading right this way as well.

I bought plywood this morning.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...?5day#contents

-- Edited by Keith at 15:47, 2008-09-08
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Old 09-08-2008, 02:57 PM   #3
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Keith
You are so right. Every indication is for a near direct path to Galveston. I'd prepare for that, and hope for the best. It doesn't take much to change the apparent path, but you don't even want to be close to this one. My guess is landfall somewhere between Corpus and Holly Beach, LA.
Be safe, Carey
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Old 09-08-2008, 04:15 PM   #4
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RE: Hurricane Ike

The latest models have shifted even more SOuth.....only one shows directly towards Galveston and the 2 are slightly South of Galveston and the rest go right over Port Oconnor. I am leaving tomorrow morning to the other side of the world and not being back until Sat. morning.............
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Old 09-08-2008, 09:01 PM   #5
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Quoting Yogi Berra "It ain't over till its over", we'll see what happens when Ike hits the Gulf. BTR pretty well blown up by Gustav, still living on generator and constant gas/battery/you name it*search. But, things improving, there was a guy on the radio this afternoon bellyaching about Cox Cable not showing up and him not having cable service even tho he got power back 3 days ago. Generator and window a/c my best friends now.
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Old 09-09-2008, 04:32 AM   #6
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Think we've dodged the bullet again in the Galveston Bay area. This morning's predictions have it going into very far S. TX or even Mexico now. Whew!
Oh yea, for those of you who have a harmonica, pick it up and sing along....
____________________
EVACUATION BLUES
I get up one morning
Weather Man on T.V.
He frantically tells us
Of the e-mergency

Big winds a blowin
And its headed our way
Dont you hunker down
Dont think you gonna stay

Chorus
I got the Red Ass
Get my big ass outta town blues
Hurricanes a comin
And its on all the news.

Ply board all your windows
Take in them trash cans
You been knowin the drill now
Youre a Nash Roberts (Max Mayfield) fan.

Get your butt in the Buick
And gas up that car
Better fill the tank up
Cause youre gonna hafta go far

Chorus

Run down to the Wal-Mart
Standing in that long line
Bottled water and batteries
People losing their minds

Cans of Vienna sausage
Dont forget potted meat
Bags of nasty food
You pray you never eat

Chorus

Pack up Fluffy and Fido
Jam them all in your van
Load the rest of the family
Leave town while you still can

Get out on the highway
With your ATM dough
Five miles an hour
Thank God for Contra-Flow

Chorus

Driving North to Nashville
Maybe to Lafayette
Kids in the back seat
Screaming Dad, are we there yet?

No room at the motel
No room at the inn
Well try the next town over
And start all over again

Chorus

Pile up at your Mammas
Flop at your best friends
Crack open a six pack
Stay glued to C.N.N.

When the hurricanes over
And we get the all clear
Get back in the damn car
And get the hell outta here.

Chorus

All this heartache and sorrow
All this work and expense
Just think about Katrina
And it makes alotta sense

We all hate to do it
But you do to survive
When you get your ass home
Be glad that youre alive
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Old 09-09-2008, 05:01 PM   #7
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Hey ya'all
Just sitting here in the hinterland, celebrating the fact that I don't have a boat at risk in the gulf. You are probably right Keith, as to having dodged this bullet. I hope you are right. I just found a new website today for following Atlantic hurricanes. It offers a few nice features not found elsewhere. http://www.stormpulse.com/ Give it a look. Do remember Yogi's quote, It ain't over... Remember a few of our hurricanes of the last five years that made radical, unexpected turns at the last minute.
I'll likely be coming to the Gulf next week, to work either Gustov or Ike (FEMA). Save me some Gumbo and Boudin

Be safe, Carey
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Old 09-09-2008, 07:12 PM   #8
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Carey if you get to Thibodaux or Houma area and feel like talking boats a while drop me a line. I might even be able to scratch up some Gumbo
Steve W.
stwillett at aol.com
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Old 09-09-2008, 10:05 PM   #9
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Steve
I will definitely do that my friend. I managed the first Disaster Recovery Center in Raceland, post Katrina, in September '05, and stayed in Houma. I also worked Grand Isle, La Fourche and Terrebone Parishes the following year, so I know your area, and love the people. I have no idea where I will end up this time, as assignments are based on background and who worked last. We'll see, as it is always a crap shoot. Somehow though I always end up down the bayou. Thanks for the invite. I'd love to talk Gulf boating with you.

Carey

PS - Can you tell me the name of that authentic Cajun Dance Hall in Houma?
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Old 09-10-2008, 09:02 AM   #10
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Carey, I believe there is a place near the Civic Center called A-bears for Heberts
I'm not sure if it is still open. Even though I am married to Boudreaux I'm not much on Cajun dancing. There is a horrible looking place near there called "1921" no dancing but just about the best oysters and boiled seafood you can imagine
Let me know if you get this way, I may need a blue tarp! just kidding!
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Old 09-10-2008, 01:51 PM   #11
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Steve
I'm not into dancing myself, but hanging out drinking a couple beers and watching is well worth the effort. The place I'm referring to was in the neigborhood of the tunnel on MLK way. Off to the right before the tunnel as I recall. It was a kind of funky looking place with the dance hall entrance down the side, and a bar in the front. I'll check it out next time I'm in town.
Looks like Ike is really trying to be somebody.

Take care, Carey
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Old 09-11-2008, 05:28 PM   #12
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Hope all you guys down there are buttoned up in safe harbors!
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Old 09-12-2008, 07:07 AM   #13
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RE: Hurricane Ike

One of IKE's feeder band passed through here, Thibodaux, LA, around midnight and must have damaged the repairs done on the local grid power, went out who knows when it will be back, It is gusting to 40 so the power guys can,t get up in their bucket trucks safely.
I have several cousins in the LaPorte TX area I hope all in that area stay safe this is one big storm.
Good luck
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Old 09-13-2008, 08:43 AM   #14
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Keith, my boat is in Rockport and I figured it was in for a direct hit when I left town Wednesday. Then you end up getting it. Sorry, my friend. Give us a damage update when you can.
Good luck,
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Old 09-13-2008, 01:06 PM   #15
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Once the power is back and y'all get a chance to catch your breath, I hope to hear from everyone that they made it thru Ike with minimal problems. Thinkin' of ya.

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Old 09-16-2008, 10:07 AM   #16
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Sorry to have been quiet for a few days, but power was out here a day or
two. I'm in League City, right off Galveston bay. We're the spot with the
big bullseye on our town. Tremendous damage around here, but thankfully my
boat at South Shore Harbour marina doesn't have a scratch, and only a fence
down at my house. Others didn't fare nearly so well. More later, but you can
check out pictures at: http://www.flickr.com/photos/keith77/ Lots of boats
on land, roads, sunken, and a 60 footer wedged in between two houses. Yike!
Power and water is back on now, hopefully for good. Stores are reopening,
things getting back to normal, but there is one heck of a cleanup ahead for
this area. Watergate marina was slammed, and looks like the Houston yacht
club was also hard hit.

Here's a couple of teasers...
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Old 09-16-2008, 05:19 PM   #17
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RE: Hurricane Ike

Keith:

A few questions:

Any guess on how*many boats went down for the count? Is it possible that home or boat insurance will be impossible to obtain in the future in that area? Will locals rebuild in the same places? Thanks
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Old 09-16-2008, 06:52 PM   #18
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RE: Hurricane Ike

I saw many boats that were damaged beyond repair, at least for what they were worth.* I'm sure it is in the hundreds.* Some marinas were almost untouched.* Legend Point and Waterford Harbor are two that I saw with very little boat/dock damage.

I spoke with an employee in the office at Watergate Marina and she said that she fielded dozens of calls from folks looking for space.* Most were looking for floating docks under 40 feet.* It seems like most of the survivors were smaller boats in marinas like Houston Yacht Club which was pretty much destroyed from what I'm hearing.* I do know that most of the 50' plus crowd at Lakewood Yacht Club received major damage.* It is my personal opinion that some of these marinas just don't have the docks to handle boats of this size.

My wife and I helped some friends remove their belongings from the second floor of their house in San Leon (6 miles SE of Kemah).* Some surveyors from the Harris County flood district (even though San Leon is in Galveston Co.) came into the home while we were there.* They took some measurements and determined that the water was about 6' 2" high inside of the home that had a ground floor elevation of 8'.* Over 14' of water in that area of homes.* Many homes were completely destroyed.

When I asked if they would rebuild on pilings they responded that they will not be building again at that location.* It was just too devastating for them.* Very sad.* Their home was originally built in the 1950's and you can't build anything that low anymore.

From what I am hearing the Beaumont/Port Arthur/Orange area also received very dangerous surge.* Has anyone heard any reports on the marinas over there?

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Old 09-18-2008, 05:05 AM   #19
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RE: Hurricane Ike

I can't even begin to guess how many boats were messed up. Like Doug said, in the hundreds at least, maybe thousands. Some are still sinking. Boats that were listing a few days ago are on the bottom now. No power to charge the batteries, and the bilge pumps get exhausted.

Insurance will always be available... just look at FL. Now how much it'll cost is an entirely different story. There are no agencies regulating what boat insurance costs, unlike cars and homes. Every time there's a storm, they use it as an excuse to make huge hikes in the rates. I know they suffer losses, but from what I've seen the increases WAY more than cover those losses, and increase their profitability.
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Old 09-18-2008, 05:11 AM   #20
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RE: Hurricane Ike

When the water level rises to the point that the floating docks are above the pilings , the damage is even worse with the docks on the boats.

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