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09-03-2019, 12:02 AM
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#381
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Guru
City: New Orleans
Vessel Name: Panache
Vessel Model: Viking 43 Double Cabin '76
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,253
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That's pretty much what the Navy's forecast looks like. You'd assume USN/NOAA would be in sych. They usually are, but some interesting departures do occur from time to time.
Old saying, but applies to me when I'm in a storm's potential path - "Waiting for a hurricane is like being stalked by a turtle." I get to the point I just want to get it over with, whatever the outcome.
I can't offer our Atlantic Coast brethen any more than solid empathy and good wishes at this juncture.
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09-03-2019, 06:45 AM
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#382
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Guru
City: Jacksonville
Vessel Name: SONAS
Vessel Model: Grand Alaskan 53
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 7,235
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5am update much better for the Florida east coast, still lots of uncertainty further north though. We even have friends cruising Halifax who are looking for options! Crazy.
And yes, the storm is still stationary - it hasn't moved for 18 hours now.
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09-03-2019, 06:59 AM
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#383
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Guru
City: Quebec
Vessel Name: Bleuvet
Vessel Model: Custom Built
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 4,375
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Quote:
Originally Posted by menzies
5am update much better for the Florida east coast, still lots of uncertainty further north though. We even have friends cruising Halifax who are looking for options! Crazy.
And yes, the storm is still stationary - it hasn't moved for 18 hours now.
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I am now in Port Mouton, NS, jeez don't tell me this will ruin my vacation. Fortunately I am not here with my boat!
L
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09-03-2019, 07:18 AM
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#384
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Guru
City: Jupiter, Florida
Vessel Name: Black Eyed Susan
Vessel Model: Grand Banks 42' Classic
Join Date: Nov 2016
Posts: 1,644
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lou_tribal
I am now in Port Mouton, NS, jeez don't tell me this will ruin my vacation. Fortunately I am not here with my boat!
L
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Track shows it getting to Halifax this coming Sunday with winds @ 80 mph. Right now moving at 1 mph so I guess they think it will speed up. You are 1,200 miles away and that's a long way at 1 mph.
__________________
Hal
BLACK EYED SUSAN
Grand Banks 42 Classic
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09-03-2019, 07:43 AM
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#385
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Senior Member
City: New York
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 338
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My wife asked about boating and hurricane season, I said no worries we won’t go down south during the season, so not much to worry about...
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09-03-2019, 07:53 AM
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#386
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Guru
City: Aventura FL
Vessel Name: Kinja
Vessel Model: American Tug 34 #116 2008
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 10,595
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I do understand everyones concern about the hurricane. I was content to watch a movie instead of the ongoing TV coverage of "You are going to die....."
Now GA will basically do the same to its citizens. Yes, I know there are mandatory evacuations along the coast.... but the Atlanta TV stations will once again "over cover" the hurricane. I do not get any cable but I am very sure.... it is 24hr repeated (tape) coverage as before.
__________________
Two days out the hospital after a week in the hospital because of a significant heart attack.
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09-03-2019, 08:06 AM
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#387
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Guru
City: Jacksonville
Vessel Name: SONAS
Vessel Model: Grand Alaskan 53
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 7,235
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It's moving again, albeit slowly. Most important thing is that it is heading 325, so NNW.
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09-03-2019, 08:10 AM
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#388
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Guru
City: Fort Lauderdale. Florida, USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 21,449
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Quote:
Originally Posted by menzies
It's moving again, albeit slowly. Most important thing is that it us heading 325, so NNW.
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Right now, the big question is how will it's path compare to Matthew. If it stays East of Matthew's path then that will be good news. Right now it is projected to do so.
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09-03-2019, 09:18 AM
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#389
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Guru
City: Jupiter, Florida
Vessel Name: Black Eyed Susan
Vessel Model: Grand Banks 42' Classic
Join Date: Nov 2016
Posts: 1,644
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldDan1943
I do understand everyones concern about the hurricane. I was content to watch a movie instead of the ongoing TV coverage of "You are going to die....."
Now GA will basically do the same to its citizens. Yes, I know there are mandatory evacuations along the coast.... but the Atlanta TV stations will once again "over cover" the hurricane. I do not get any cable but I am very sure.... it is 24hr repeated (tape) coverage as before.
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Nothing I saw was repeated. There is a fine line between responsible reporting of a weather event and sensationalizing it. They do show their hand when there is no real destruction so they go out and find some little house right on the beach with a bit of washout going on an make a big deal of it.
__________________
Hal
BLACK EYED SUSAN
Grand Banks 42 Classic
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09-03-2019, 09:38 AM
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#390
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Veteran Member
City: Gulfport
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 96
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve91T
Yeah they said they are waiting for the plane to grab more info. They’ve only made 1 pass as of now.
This thing needs to start moving. Has a hurricane ever sat stationary for so long?
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Hurricane Harvey (2017) sat over Houston and wobbled around for a few days. The severe flooding from the rain caused massive damage. Upwards of what Katrina caused.
Keith
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09-03-2019, 09:38 AM
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#391
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Guru
City: Miami River
Vessel Name: Gotcha
Vessel Model: Grand Banks. Heritage. 54
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 2,988
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Actually I think they sensationalize. I remember Andrew and you never saw neighborhoods that appeared almost untouched except for tree damage but you saw hundreds of houses destroyed. Because that’s what people want to see, you don’t go to NASCAR to watch cars run on an oval, you go for the wrecks.
During Andrew I fielded many calls all saying the same thing, did I survive, how much damage. Yes and none. My house on the Atlantic in Key Largo was perfect. Amazing when I looked at the news I should have been dead with no property left. I understand the officials need to assume the worst to get people to move.
Then again could they get people to watch four days of weather if there was going to be no destruction.
Just my SSO
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09-03-2019, 09:48 AM
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#392
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Guru
City: Huntersville NC
Vessel Name: Abeona
Vessel Model: Marine Trader 47’ Sundeck
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 898
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I’m in Myrtle Beach right now. Place is dead. The hotel is only open for us right now and they are closing up as soon as we leave in a couple of hours. I get that you don’t want to wait too long but it’s still a long ways away.
MCO closed last night. That’s completely unnecessary.
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09-03-2019, 09:52 AM
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#393
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Guru
City: Seaford Va on Poquoson River, VA
Vessel Name: Old Glory
Vessel Model: 1970 Egg Harbor 37 extended salon model
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 2,264
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https://www.foxnews.com/world/hurric...on-the-bahamas
Storm surge in Carolina's up to 12 foot maybe.
Dorian still churning over Grand Bahama.
Weakened but also may strengthen again before it heads north.
eventual landfalls all along outer banks.
Sure its all just a projection.
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09-03-2019, 09:55 AM
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#394
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Guru
City: Jacksonville
Vessel Name: SONAS
Vessel Model: Grand Alaskan 53
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 7,235
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11:00 update now posted. It's still slow but starting to move. 320 degrees, just north of NW. Hopefully the 2pm update has it more towards 360.
Wind has also dropped.
LOCATION...27.1N 78.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM N OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM E OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
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09-03-2019, 10:04 AM
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#395
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Guru
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 22,553
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With 24 hour cable "news" the old saw "If it Bleeds it Leads" is all they have.
Its going to be difficult to keep folks in refuges if the storm keeps going at a crawl, without fear stories
And really expensive to have 25,000 - 40,000 lineman on TDY with their equipment standing by.
The big worry is the next big breeze , folks will not heed the warnings.
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09-03-2019, 10:07 AM
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#396
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Guru
City: Seaford Va on Poquoson River, VA
Vessel Name: Old Glory
Vessel Model: 1970 Egg Harbor 37 extended salon model
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 2,264
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Leaving your home, means its difficult to get back to it. they wont let you back home for days.
My brother, wife, kids and parents all live in Myrtle Beach. But not right on the shore. Last I heard they are staying there. 10 foot of surge, the house is going to barely flood. They are in an well off neighborhood off the grand strand.
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09-03-2019, 10:12 AM
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#397
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Guru
City: Phoenix, AZ
Vessel Name: Enigma
Vessel Model: 1997 Wellcraft Excel 26 SE
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 658
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FF
Its going to be difficult to keep folks in refuges if the storm keeps going at a crawl.
And really expensive to have 25,000 - 40,000 lineman on TDY with their equipment standing by.
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It is difficult to be Goldilocks and have juuuust the right amount.
Given the choices of not enough or too much.
Too much will cost you on a line item that goes away pretty quickly.
Not enough will burn for a long time in more ways than just money.
__________________
>>>>>>>>>>>Action
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09-03-2019, 10:18 AM
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#398
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Guru
City: Fort Lauderdale. Florida, USA
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 21,449
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Overreaction....
I hope so.
Yes, I hope that it's never as bad as the warnings on tv. They do present worst case. That saves lives.
They didn't overreact to Harvey or Michael or Matthew or Florence or Irma and likely saved lives in all those. What if the Bahamas had reacted the same as Charleston is to Dorian?
I would say all we read on this site about hurricane areas and hurricane planning is the same type overreaction as the news. The kind that protects people. Once again we have our boats prepared but Fort Lauderdale not getting hit. Is that bad? I don't think so. We closed all our stores yesterday and today. In Miami Dade and Broward today wasn't necessary, but we didn't know that yesterday and we'd rather employees worry about their families and, yes, they all get paid scheduled hours for these two days.
I'd rather those who need to prepare do so and those who turn out doing so unnecessarily then just breathe a sigh of relief.
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09-03-2019, 10:18 AM
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#399
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Guru
City: Northport
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 2,046
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve91T
I’m in Myrtle Beach right now. Place is dead. The hotel is only open for us right now and they are closing up as soon as we leave in a couple of hours. I get that you don’t want to wait too long but it’s still a long ways away.
MCO closed last night. That’s completely unnecessary.
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"MCO closed last night. That’s completely unnecessary."
How much notice do you think would be required to shut down an airport like this for equipment, staff and passengers?
What minimum lead time to make the decisions?
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09-03-2019, 10:44 AM
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#400
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Guru
City: Huntersville NC
Vessel Name: Abeona
Vessel Model: Marine Trader 47’ Sundeck
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 898
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smitty477
"MCO closed last night. That’s completely unnecessary."
How much notice do you think would be required to shut down an airport like this for equipment, staff and passengers?
What minimum lead time to make the decisions?
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Orlando is far enough inland that it’s never been a concern, or hasn’t been for the last few days.
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