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Old 08-30-2016, 05:34 PM   #101
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Just saw the Tuesday 5 PM update, and the curve has improved for our area in SW FL Gulf Coast. Looks like the Big Bend is going to get most of it. Still will be plenty of rain and maybe some Tornadoes, but not too bad south if Tampa.
Yeah, looks like we're going to get most of it here (Tallahassee area) insofar as the coming ashore bit. But because of the counter-clockwise rotation, the surges will still be over there on the West coast of the Peninsula (Tampa and points north). If I had to make a guess, I would guess that it will reach tropical storm strength. But no more than that. Maybe. I hope.
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Old 08-30-2016, 05:45 PM   #102
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Here in eastern NC, people and marinas typically pull the trigger on moving/haul out until it becomes a named storm. I paid Jarrett Bay "protection money" to a get a guaranteed spot and paid the annual fee of $900ish (61' LOA Hatteras) gladly; they have a very well run program and blocked the boat correctly.
Jarrett Bay has, in my opinion, the best run program in the country. They make good money on the fee most years but then comes a bad year and they have to do an amazing job with rough days and long hours.
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Old 08-30-2016, 05:49 PM   #103
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Yeah, looks like we're going to get most of it here (Tallahassee area) insofar as the coming ashore bit. But because of the counter-clockwise rotation, the surges will still be over there on the West coast of the Peninsula (Tampa and points north). If I had to make a guess, I would guess that it will reach tropical storm strength. But no more than that. Maybe. I hope.
Nine is just barely a tropical depression now and projected to be on the lower end of a tropical storm. I haven't seen a surge forecast.

Looks like eight saw NC and got scared and just took off out to see and to the Northeast.
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Old 08-30-2016, 06:17 PM   #104
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Nine is still tracking more west than north. I think that bodes well for us down in St. Pete.
It still looks disorganised on NOAAs satellite imagery. Subject to change. Kind of like my investment portfolio.
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Old 08-30-2016, 08:00 PM   #105
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I just got an e-mail from my marina (Harborage marina downtown St. Pete). They are expecting 4 ft surge tides. They said they are pulling the ramps from the concrete bulkheads (J dock only where my boat is) to the floating docks by noon on Wednesday. I'm side tied to the floating dock with bow, stern and 2 spring lines. Debating on weather I should go down early tomorrow and pull all the canvas off and add additional lines. Probably won't.
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Old 08-30-2016, 08:06 PM   #106
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I just got an e-mail from my marina (Harborage marina downtown St. Pete). They are expecting 4 ft surge tides. They said they are pulling the ramps from the concrete bulkheads (J dock only where my boat is) to the floating docks by noon on Wednesday. I'm side tied to the floating dock with bow, stern and 2 spring lines. Debating on weather I should go down early tomorrow and pull all the canvas off and add additional lines. Probably won't.
I thought winds were only to 25-30 knts max. So you should be good for canvas.
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Old 08-30-2016, 08:10 PM   #107
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Awww Damn It!! We have plans to cruise from here in Jax to Palm Coast for a four day weekend.

Go away you silly storm.
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Old 08-30-2016, 08:11 PM   #108
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I thought winds were only to 25-30 knts max. So you should be good for canvas.
Yes, that's what I'm thinking.
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Old 08-30-2016, 08:41 PM   #109
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I've got a set of Tide Minders and new lines in my garage that I got at a Yard Sale in Key Biscayne a few years ago...never used them. Maybe I should figure a surge coming into Sarasota Bay and put them on, but I think I'll give it another 12 hours.....lazy. Some of the storms coming by in the meantime are producing some rough conditions and talk about tornadoes.
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Old 08-30-2016, 08:59 PM   #110
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I've got a set of Tide Minders and new lines in my garage that I got at a Yard Sale in Key Biscayne a few years ago...never used them.
Had not heard of those before, so of course had to Google (how that became a verb I am not sure, but it has!) them. Neat idea, and some good reviews. On Amazon, too.
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Old 08-30-2016, 09:03 PM   #111
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Nine is just barely a tropical depression now and projected to be on the lower end of a tropical storm. I haven't seen a surge forecast.
We now have a hurricane watch posted for the coastal area in this part of Florida. Not sure I know why, but it is there. Just CYA I guess.
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Old 08-30-2016, 09:07 PM   #112
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You know what?

60K dry weight displacement boat, probably nearer 70K currently loaded.

If it is designed to handle same in open waters then...

What the hey, off down the ICW to Palm Coast we go.
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Old 08-30-2016, 11:53 PM   #113
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The Tide Minders are actually a new application of a piece of very old nautical technology.

The traditional name for them is Parrel Beads. They were used on gaff rigged sail boats as part of the rigging that held the gaff to the mast. Traditionally they were made of wood, lignum vitae if possible.

I think Ronstan and Schaffer make them now out of plastic.

Have you guys noticed that my head is just full of useless information?
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:08 AM   #114
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It looks like max gusts today for Tampa Bay is 28 kts with a tide height of 3.3 ft.
Thursday: 33 kts and tide height 3.3 ft.
Friday: 38 kts and tide height 3.3 ft.

Hurricane watch and tropical storm warnings were issued for the big bend area of FL just north of Tampa Bay.
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:21 AM   #115
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You know what?

60K dry weight displacement boat, probably nearer 70K currently loaded.

If it is designed to handle same in open waters then...

What the hey, off down the ICW to Palm Coast we go.
I was looking at your boat avatar in your previous post, and thought the same thing

Safe travels
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:30 AM   #116
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For newbies.......

Just remember that while 30 knots of wind won't usually blow canvas off.....

30 knots for a good duration will flog the crap out of it and can damage it if a corner works loose or a zipper fails.. flogging can really destroy gel coat if it pulls a fastener and it is at the end of the flogging canvas.

Good condition canvas, seams and secure fasteners will usually be good...just in case they are not....
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:34 AM   #117
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Click on NOAA's Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map (Inundation), 5 am this morning. It looks like 6' plus in some areas.


Tropical Depression NINE
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:36 AM   #118
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It looks like max gusts today for Tampa Bay is 28 kts with a tide height of 3.3 ft.
Thursday: 33 kts and tide height 3.3 ft.
Friday: 38 kts and tide height 3.3 ft.

Hurricane watch and tropical storm warnings were issued for the big bend area of FL just north of Tampa Bay.
38knts? What's the magic number that you're taking the canvas down? Up on the Great Lakes odds are we'll hit 40 maybe once a year for a day. And I get very attentive during that time.
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:57 AM   #119
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38knts? What's the magic number that you're taking the canvas down?
No magic number, but psneeld kinda hit the nail on the head.
It's not so much the number but the duration.
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Old 08-31-2016, 06:58 AM   #120
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The thing has stopped (2mph to the north). Track over northern Florida has now been moved more northerly. Hopefully the mid-day update has it even further north.

They said it would probably turn into a named storm last night. It did not. It is still unformed.
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